|
|
What Is the Value of My Note?
The most accurate answer is... "It all depends...".
Just like you can't determine the actual value of your home until you
actually place it on the market and get a sale offer, you can't
determine an exact dollar value for a note until some investor has given
it a full evaluation. However, we can always start with a
"listing" price and go from there.
In fact, the process is very analogous to selling your home. It
starts with "homes in this neighborhood with X, Y, and Z
features go for around $...", then it progresses through "but
I have a two-car garage and an in-ground pool" which increases
it by $....
...then a potential buyer comes along and says "yeah, well I
can't swim, but a two-car garage!!!"
...etc, etc, etc... FINALLY! a solid offer! And now we know
what your house is worth.
Just like each home buyer has a unique perspective of what are the
desired features in a house in general, so does each investor
have a set of note guidelines within which he will invest. And
further, just as each home buyer will decide that certain specific
features of your house make it worth more or less to him, so will
each investor adjust his offer according to the "features" of
your note.
But don't worry -- investors have this whole process boiled down so
that evaluating an income stream can be accomplished in only a couple of
days (and without haggling about curtains).
Evaluating an Income Stream
Your note or income stream is an asset that has a value determined by
a number of factors:
- The original terms of the note (i.e. principal amount, interest
rate, and number of payments).
- The current age, or seasoning, of the note.
- The payment history on the note.
- The perceived risk to a potential investor of the note.
The first two items are straight-forward and will be fixed at any
given time. At the creation of the note, the terms and payment
schedule were established and will not change.
When you want to sell that note to an investor, his single concern is
risk, and the level of risk directly
affects the return he will require to invest in your note. There
are numerous "things" about your note that will help him
determine the risk of your note. These "things" will
vary by the type of income stream and the investor, but are generally
related to the original terms of the note, any collateral securing the
note (its value and marketability), the number or payments being
purchased, and the equity of the payer. All of these items help
determine the potential risk of not receiving the remaining scheduled
payments.
|
Most investments have some inherent amount of
risk, and those risks vary with the type of investment (even the
homeowner with A+ credit and excellent payment history can lose
his job). Investors understand these risks and compensate
for them by charging an appropriate "market" interest
rate, just like banks and creditors do when lending money.
The two basic elements to evaluating the risk of
purchasing a note are 1) the risk of the payer not making his
scheduled payments, and 2) the general ability to collect on the
investment if the payer stops paying.
Also just like a bank, an investor will check
the credit rating and other background information of the payer.
The financial stability of the payer will be an indication to
the investor of the probability of receiving all the remaining
payments on your note. The significance with private notes
goes back to the fact that there was probably some reason that a
bank thought this investment was too risky to loan money on.
|
Note that the fourth bullet in the list at the top is "perceived"
risk. Evaluation of risk is not an exact science and it will vary
significantly between investors because of their individual motivations
for investing and how they handle any risks that become real.
|
For example, let's use a mortgage note on a
rental income property. One investor may be very
comfortable with rental property as collateral if he has
experience with income property management. If he has to
foreclose on the property, he may have lots of options available
to either keep or liquidate it. To him, the risk is solely
in the value of the property. Another investor may invest
primarily in single-family owner-occupied property, and to
foreclose on a rental property and deal with tenants would be
very undesirable and/or expensive. To him, the risk is
having to deal with the management.
|
It's not a gamble!
With Shore Financing, your note will be presented only to
investors whose guidelines match your note. You can be
confident that you will be getting the best price on the market
for your note.
Establishing a Sale Price
Once all the risk factors are combined and churned through the
investor's process, he will determine a return (i.e. interest rate) that
he will require on his investment in your note. Since the terms of
the note are fixed (i.e. the payment amount and number of remaining
payments cannot change), the investor uses these values and his interest
rate to determine how much to offer you now.
|
|